no network forecast
Blind question — the consensus is hidden until you commit your own figure.
Will COP31 in Antalya adopt its final decision text on or before 20 November 2026?
ClimateCloses in 36 daysResolves ~23 Nov 2026Blind
Subject
Climate
The physical record and the negotiations about it — temperature and sea-ice series as the monitoring agencies publish them, extreme weather, and the outcomes of the climate conferences.
6
Questions
2
Open
0
Resolved
The questions under this subject, counted
Resolving soon
as of 4 Oct 2026, 17:21 UTC · 0 of 9 scheduled questions qualifyscope · rule · threshold · route
Drawn from the network-wide list in the order the engine sent it, then narrowed to the questions the engine files under this subject. The route states no per-subject rule, so none is claimed.
at least 5 committed forecasts required
sourceGET /api/network/questions/resolving-soon· expected_resolution_at · resolves_in_days · forecaster_count· 0 listed of 0 qualifying· 9 scheduled
0questions qualifying
open questions with a stated expected resolution date carrying at least 5 committed forecasts, soonest to resolve first; 0 of 9 scheduled questions qualify. The threshold is the engine's own and is not lowered to fill this list
questions with a stated resolution date95
A question appears here once it carries the engine’s minimum of committed forecasts and has a stated expected resolution date. Nothing is listed by being close to resolving alone.
The best-supported scheduled question carries 0 committed forecasts against a minimum of 5, which is 5 short. 9 questions carry a stated expected resolution date. The minimum is the engine’s and is not lowered to fill this band. the best-supported one
Every question under this subject
6 listed of 6 counted in the catalogueroute
sourceGET /api/questions· category climate· 6 rows of a 100 ceiling
no network forecast
Blind question — the consensus is hidden until you commit your own figure.
Will Copernicus rank 2026 among the three warmest calendar years in its record?
ClimateCloses in 2 monthsResolves ~15 Jan 2027Blind
60%n=5
5 forecasters · network forecast
Will at least three more Atlantic storms be named between 24 August and 30 September 2026?
ClimateCloses 42 days agoResolves ~1 Oct 2026Blind
50%n=3
3 forecasters — below 5. Individuals, not a population.
Will the National Hurricane Center classify an Atlantic hurricane by 15 September 2026?
ClimateCloses 42 days agoResolves ~16 Sept 2026Blind
50%n=3
3 forecasters — below 5. Individuals, not a population.
Will the 2026 Arctic sea ice minimum fall below 4.50 million square kilometres?
ClimateCloses 33 days agoResolves ~5 Oct 2026Blind
50%n=3
3 forecasters — below 5. Individuals, not a population.
Will Copernicus report September 2026 as the warmest September in its record?
ClimateCloses 4 days agoResolves ~12 Oct 2026Blind