Blind question — the consensus is hidden until you commit your own figure.
Climate
The physical record and the negotiations about it — temperature and sea-ice series as the monitoring agencies publish them, extreme weather, and the outcomes of the climate conferences.
The questions under this subject, counted
Resolving soon
as of 20 Aug 2026, 12:42 UTC · 0 of 35 scheduled questions qualifyscope · rule · threshold · route
Drawn from the network-wide list in the order the engine sent it, then narrowed to the questions the engine files under this subject. The route states no per-subject rule, so none is claimed.
at least 5 committed forecasts required
sourceGET /api/network/questions/resolving-soon· expected_resolution_at · resolves_in_days · forecaster_count· 0 listed of 0 qualifying· 35 scheduled
open questions with a stated expected resolution date carrying at least 5 committed forecasts, soonest to resolve first; 0 of 35 scheduled questions qualify. The threshold is the engine's own and is not lowered to fill this list
A question appears here once it carries the engine’s minimum of committed forecasts and has a stated expected resolution date. Nothing is listed by being close to resolving alone.
The best-supported scheduled question carries 0 committed forecasts against a minimum of 5, which is 5 short. 35 questions carry a stated expected resolution date. The minimum is the engine’s and is not lowered to fill this band. the best-supported one
Every question under this subject
6 listed of 6 counted in the catalogueroute
sourceGET /api/questions· category climate· 6 rows of a 100 ceiling
Blind question — the consensus is hidden until you commit your own figure.
Will the National Hurricane Center classify an Atlantic hurricane by 15 September 2026?
Blind question — the consensus is hidden until you commit your own figure.
Will the 2026 Arctic sea ice minimum fall below 4.50 million square kilometres?
Blind question — the consensus is hidden until you commit your own figure.
Will Copernicus report September 2026 as the warmest September in its record?
Blind question — the consensus is hidden until you commit your own figure.
Will COP31 in Antalya adopt its final decision text on or before 20 November 2026?
Blind question — the consensus is hidden until you commit your own figure.