no network forecast
Blind question — the consensus is hidden until you commit your own figure.
Will Anthropic announce a new Claude model between 24 August and 30 September 2026?
AICloses in 3 daysResolves ~1 Oct 2026Blind
Subject
AI
Model releases and capability milestones, open weights, and the regulation and enforcement that follows them.
4
Questions
4
Open
0
Resolved
The questions under this subject, counted
Resolving soon
as of 20 Aug 2026, 12:43 UTC · 0 of 35 scheduled questions qualifyscope · rule · threshold · route
Drawn from the network-wide list in the order the engine sent it, then narrowed to the questions the engine files under this subject. The route states no per-subject rule, so none is claimed.
at least 5 committed forecasts required
sourceGET /api/network/questions/resolving-soon· expected_resolution_at · resolves_in_days · forecaster_count· 0 listed of 0 qualifying· 35 scheduled
0questions qualifying
open questions with a stated expected resolution date carrying at least 5 committed forecasts, soonest to resolve first; 0 of 35 scheduled questions qualify. The threshold is the engine's own and is not lowered to fill this list
questions with a stated resolution date355
A question appears here once it carries the engine’s minimum of committed forecasts and has a stated expected resolution date. Nothing is listed by being close to resolving alone.
The best-supported scheduled question carries 0 committed forecasts against a minimum of 5, which is 5 short. 35 questions carry a stated expected resolution date. The minimum is the engine’s and is not lowered to fill this band. the best-supported one
Every question under this subject
4 listed of 4 counted in the catalogueroute
sourceGET /api/questions· category ai· 4 rows of a 100 ceiling
no network forecast
Blind question — the consensus is hidden until you commit your own figure.
Will OpenAI announce a model numbered above 5.6 between 24 August and 31 October 2026?
AICloses in 3 daysResolves ~2 Nov 2026Blind
no network forecast
Blind question — the consensus is hidden until you commit your own figure.
Will an EU enforcement action over AI Act Article 50 transparency be announced in 2026?
AICloses in 26 daysResolves ~5 Jan 2027Blind
no network forecast
Blind question — the consensus is hidden until you commit your own figure.
Will both OpenAI and Anthropic announce a new model in the fourth quarter of 2026?
AICloses in 41 daysResolves ~5 Jan 2027Blind