Will Anthropic announce a new Claude model between 24 August and 30 September 2026?
AwaitingConsensus
Questions
Every question open to forecast, and every one that has been settled.
23 questions · Closing soon
Will at least three more Atlantic storms be named between 24 August and 30 September 2026?
60%Consensusn = 5
Will OpenAI announce a model numbered above 5.6 between 24 August and 31 October 2026?
AwaitingConsensus
Will the National Hurricane Center classify an Atlantic hurricane by 15 September 2026?
AwaitingConsensus
Will SpaceX conduct Starship Flight 14 on or before 30 September 2026?
AwaitingConsensus
Will euro-area annual HICP inflation for August 2026 come in at 3.0 % or higher?
AwaitingConsensus
Will a commercial lunar lander achieve a soft landing between September and December 2026?
AwaitingConsensus
Will the 2026 Arctic sea ice minimum fall below 4.50 million square kilometres?
AwaitingConsensus
Will the EU Council adopt a new Russia sanctions package before the end of 2026?
AwaitingConsensus
Will the WHO declare the Ebola public health emergency over before the end of 2026?
AwaitingConsensus
Will the WHO report more than 20 human H5N1 cases with onset in the second half of 2026?
AwaitingConsensus
Will the AfD receive the highest second-vote share in Saxony-Anhalt on 6 September 2026?
AwaitingConsensus
Will the UN General Assembly adopt a resolution on Ukraine before the end of 2026?
AwaitingConsensus
Will any team win all six Champions League league-phase matches played in 2026?
AwaitingConsensus
Will the ECB leave the deposit facility rate unchanged at its 10 September 2026 meeting?
AwaitingConsensus
Will the Golden Lion at the 83rd Venice Film Festival go to a film directed by a woman?
None yetConsensus
Will the Social Democrats take the largest vote share in the Swedish election on 13 September?
AwaitingConsensus
Will an EU enforcement action over AI Act Article 50 transparency be announced in 2026?
AwaitingConsensus
Will Databricks publicly file a Form S-1 with the SEC before 2027?
AwaitingConsensus
Will Grand Theft Auto VI be available for purchase on or before 19 November 2026?
AwaitingConsensus
Will OpenAI's Form S-1 become publicly available on SEC EDGAR before 2027?
AwaitingConsensus
Will Steam exceed its all-time concurrent user record of 42,042,778 before 2027?
AwaitingConsensus
Will any party win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern on 20 September?
AwaitingConsensus
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