Will the UN General Assembly adopt a resolution on Ukraine before the end of 2026?
Consensus
both figures, always together
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sourceGET /api/questions/will-the-un-general-assembly-adopt-a-resolution-on-ukraine-before-the-end-of-2026/consensus· raw· independence_adjusted· withheld
Who produced this number
this question is blind and its consensus has not been disclosed to you; submit an independent forecast and reveal it, or wait for the question to close
sourceGET /api/questions/will-the-un-general-assembly-adopt-a-resolution-on-ukraine-before-the-end-of-2026/consensus· segments· 0 as sent· 0 with a resolved receipt
How the consensus got here
A chart of how the consensus moved is the consensus, sampled. It is withheld with the figure and released with it.
sourceGET /api/questions/will-the-un-general-assembly-adopt-a-resolution-on-ukraine-before-the-end-of-2026· consensus_history· withheld
Why it moved
this question is in blind mode and is still open, and a movement names who moved and by how much. That is an individual forecast under another name, so it is withheld until the reader has passed the same disclosure gate that governs every other surface. Nothing here is recomputed when it is released: the rows already exist.
sourceGET /api/questions/will-the-un-general-assembly-adopt-a-resolution-on-ukraine-before-the-end-of-2026/why-it-moved· consensus_movements· 5 populations
How this resolves
YES if the official resolution index for the 81st session lists at least one adopted resolution whose title refers to Ukraine, adopted between 8 September and 31 December 2026.
Official resolution index of the 81st UN General Assembly session at https://www.un.org/en/ga/81/.
Revision 1 — the text published when the question opened, unchanged. Written 15 Aug 2026, 15:53 UTC.
What is being forecast
The 81st session of the General Assembly opens on 8 September 2026. This asks whether the Assembly returns to Ukraine in a formal adopted resolution during the remainder of the calendar year.
sourceGET /api/questions/will-the-un-general-assembly-adopt-a-resolution-on-ukraine-before-the-end-of-2026· resolution_rule· revision 1
Evidence on the record
this question is in blind mode and is still open, and a movement names who moved and by how much. That is an individual forecast under another name, so it is withheld until the reader has passed the same disclosure gate that governs every other surface. Nothing here is recomputed when it is released: the rows already exist.
sourceGET /api/questions/will-the-un-general-assembly-adopt-a-resolution-on-ukraine-before-the-end-of-2026/evidence· citations· references· 0 + 0 rows
What each forecaster could be shown to have had
this question is in blind mode and is still open, and a movement names who moved and by how much. That is an individual forecast under another name, so it is withheld until the reader has passed the same disclosure gate that governs every other surface. Nothing here is recomputed when it is released: the rows already exist.
sourceGET /api/questions/will-the-un-general-assembly-adopt-a-resolution-on-ukraine-before-the-end-of-2026/information-state· information_states· 0 rows
Against an external market
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this question has not been linked to any external market. A link is an editorial claim and no editor has judged any market to ask this question
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Reasoning on the record
A published rationale carries the number it was written to justify, so rationales are withheld with the forecasts on a blind question.
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How to read this page
Every number above came from a row, through the API, computed for this request as the reader you are signed in as. A figure that could not be computed appears as an em dash with the reason beside it, never as a zero. A collection that was withheld says so, and is deliberately a different screen from one that is empty.