delphi.question.published

{
  "slug": "will-the-who-report-more-than-20-human-h5n1-cases-with-onset-in-the-second-half-of-2026",
  "title": "Will the WHO report more than 20 human H5N1 cases with onset in the second half of 2026?",
  "origin": "EDITORIAL",
  "timebase": {
    "clock": "REAL_UTC"
  },
  "closes_at": "2026-09-01T12:00:00.000000Z",
  "opened_at": "2026-08-15T15:53:37.572403Z",
  "blind_mode": true,
  "provenance": "PUBLIC_RECORD",
  "description": "Between August 2025 and June 2026 the WHO recorded twelve human H5N1 cases outside the United States across three countries, with three deaths. This asks whether the second half of 2026 runs above that pace.",
  "question_id": "08ea8d0c-fe07-4a30-a823-6e71109f1fb5",
  "resolution_criteria": "YES if the WHO cumulative table, in an update published after 31 December 2026, lists more than 20 laboratory-confirmed human H5N1 cases with onset between 1 July and 31 December 2026.",
  "expected_resolution_at": "2027-02-15T12:00:00.000000Z",
  "canonical_source_policy": "WHO cumulative table of confirmed human cases of avian influenza A(H5N1) at https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/cumulative-number-of-confirmed-human-cases-for-avian-influenza-a(h5n1)-reported-to-who.",
  "resolution_rule_revision": 1
}

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