delphi.question.published

{
  "slug": "will-both-openai-and-anthropic-announce-a-new-model-in-the-fourth-quarter-of-2026",
  "title": "Will both OpenAI and Anthropic announce a new model in the fourth quarter of 2026?",
  "origin": "EDITORIAL",
  "timebase": {
    "clock": "REAL_UTC"
  },
  "closes_at": "2026-09-30T22:00:00.000000Z",
  "opened_at": "2026-08-15T15:53:36.582007Z",
  "blind_mode": true,
  "provenance": "PUBLIC_RECORD",
  "description": "A conjunction rather than a single event. It resolves YES only if both laboratories ship inside the same quarter, which is a different claim from either shipping alone.",
  "question_id": "f69e4ff3-bcaa-42f5-a8f1-8044a9975b0f",
  "resolution_criteria": "YES only if both openai.com/news and anthropic.com/news each carry at least one post dated between 1 October and 31 December 2026 whose subject is the availability of a model not previously available. The same exclusions apply as for the individual questions.",
  "expected_resolution_at": "2027-01-05T12:00:00.000000Z",
  "canonical_source_policy": "The dated post lists at https://openai.com/news/ and https://www.anthropic.com/news.",
  "resolution_rule_revision": 1
}

Shown indented so it can be read. The hash is taken over the canonical form of the same object — keys sorted by code point, no insignificant whitespace, UTF-8 rather than escaped ASCII, timestamps RFC 3339 in UTC to microseconds, decimals as their plain string form. The check below re-encodes the object canonically before hashing it, which is why an indented display cannot make it pass or fail.