delphi.question.published

{
  "slug": "will-republicans-hold-at-least-51-us-senate-seats-after-the-3-november-2026-midterms",
  "title": "Will Republicans hold at least 51 US Senate seats after the 3 November 2026 midterms?",
  "origin": "EDITORIAL",
  "timebase": {
    "clock": "REAL_UTC"
  },
  "closes_at": "2026-11-03T11:00:00.000000Z",
  "opened_at": "2026-08-15T15:53:35.732775Z",
  "blind_mode": true,
  "provenance": "PUBLIC_RECORD",
  "description": "Thirty-five Senate seats are contested on 3 November 2026, including two special elections. Fifty-one is asked rather than fifty because the vice-presidential tie-break is not a seat.",
  "question_id": "1d7c973e-1d2e-40a2-8242-236a5a5201b9",
  "resolution_criteria": "YES if Republicans hold at least 51 seats measured against results certified by state election authorities as of 15 December 2026. The vice president's tie-breaking vote does not count as a seat.",
  "expected_resolution_at": "2026-12-15T12:00:00.000000Z",
  "canonical_source_policy": "Certified state results and the official Senate membership listing at https://www.senate.gov/.",
  "resolution_rule_revision": 1
}

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