delphi.question.published

{
  "slug": "will-the-democratic-party-hold-a-house-majority-after-the-3-november-2026-midterms",
  "title": "Will the Democratic Party hold a House majority after the 3 November 2026 midterms?",
  "origin": "EDITORIAL",
  "timebase": {
    "clock": "REAL_UTC"
  },
  "closes_at": "2026-11-03T11:00:00.000000Z",
  "opened_at": "2026-08-15T15:53:35.655107Z",
  "blind_mode": true,
  "provenance": "PUBLIC_RECORD",
  "description": "All 435 seats in the US House are contested on 3 November 2026. This asks about the certified outcome rather than about election-night calls, which is why it resolves in mid-December.",
  "question_id": "a1fe265a-83a7-4cf7-a06c-81aea258e90c",
  "resolution_criteria": "YES if Democrats hold at least 218 of 435 seats measured against results certified by state election authorities as of 15 December 2026. Later special elections and party switches do not count.",
  "expected_resolution_at": "2026-12-15T12:00:00.000000Z",
  "canonical_source_policy": "Certified state results and the official tally published by the Clerk of the US House at https://clerk.house.gov/.",
  "resolution_rule_revision": 1
}

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