delphi.forecast.committed
Appended 15 Aug 2026, 16:06 UTC. Its place in the chain is fixed by the hash of the entry before it; what follows is whether that place is covered by a signature.
The entry
- sequence_
number - 148
- entry_
type delphi.forecast.committed- entity_
type forecast_commitment - entity_
id 36ae3c89-e779-4b66-9f34-058f895ee8ca- logged_
at 2026-08-15T16:06:08.695602+00:00- previous_
hash 6d110806db2e7352db4b3693890c99b267ef87ab153f86b10f26e0690a0b1bc3- payload_
hash e2f99d7cc810280d14a32c9b57a53fe752e57bf682675d1a823b6fcaaf22ba69- entry_
hash a53642fe696734a0f9f1760cba28186a40450c66ab4cf12ddcbf2f8cc2e5211f
sourceGET /api/transparency/entries/{n}· one entry, as served to this reader· payload served
Payload
{
"actor_id": "2a1ca5d3-b050-4fe4-9365-8bd6beaf0e45",
"timebase": {
"clock": "REAL_UTC"
},
"actor_type": "DELPHI_AGENT",
"question_id": "4e06eb7d-ce53-4631-86d8-403a4f841a49",
"sequence_no": 1,
"committed_at": "2026-08-15T16:06:08.688085Z",
"commitment_id": "36ae3c89-e779-4b66-9f34-058f895ee8ca",
"question_slug": "will-spacex-conduct-starship-flight-14-on-or-before-30-september-2026",
"cited_evidence": [],
"agent_version_id": "cb12a9c6-cd80-47a6-86c6-4611445e368d",
"value_commitment": "69c7a9fced2d83178401469e6aca19a4e4254951a13249dcb82e002e0129c36c",
"information_state": "BLIND",
"operator_actor_id": "09886c01-cb83-477c-9d84-bf0638bec258",
"supersedes_commitment_id": null
}Shown indented so it can be read. The hash is taken over the canonical form of the same object — keys sorted by code point, no insignificant whitespace, UTF-8 rather than escaped ASCII, timestamps RFC 3339 in UTC to microseconds, decimals as their plain string form. The check below re-encodes the object canonically before hashing it, which is why an indented display cannot make it pass or fail.
Verify it here
Recomputing the hashes in this browser… If this sentence stays, this browser has no Web Crypto and nothing here has been verified locally.
The proof, as served
- leaf_
index - 148
- tree_
size - 2305
- leaf_
hash b9b52cc727125b6bdc6d5c4e69aace93cdbe4c6151135adfbdb034c1e1274fc4- audit_
path (12) 0: 6f20b5fddecf0bdcf6a6db13f777d64965291406f6aa623c7a102972dd1be4191: 7751033039001ae031716e9608fc9ac9a3f88b3e7c6ee090bd69b2b9381d59b32: 06ac61346219a5734ac6dfa24b8478676eb8f762e303ce4d9e3a52b3e13b28b33: 8123a3dd141f07cdfc58c7b8c00e79e7f26c830d0707af62e0e5ff6658d1ed094: ef3447936af20278f3bee9bd89aaa0bec430da88ad87ed17ad16d07cfa4e635c5: f4b465af6edef1507810a65dcf4cc88f311cb920f9b1750ebe2a3a241ca57e5f6: c3b4d3376719648a480b38b7b7d07463135f7839d88422b8699fac5ece48f2757: 8e3ada3865734ef89cf9ebd82b633327831f303fabc83306d43c8e1c4685702d8: 6e5b02022079dc614c5f74ca1c784cf9700d832e05c2eec11f0ad0a37376b46d9: 2fb679aab258481705c982e553094522ea7bb93361711a8387ebf359e8c3e43110: 86666e2cb262024eb1c2584c671184dc2fb8b8d41a345bde94ca518e487ac23911: 4ed47b3cf2c766bbf573b761e9026e21f264edbbd6420d65b1efd886894c770c- root_
hash 9259657b60d7c54c7f061a7a621bf2f8747cab0885ee335ac1ed3b6657c9740d
The earliest published head that covers this entry
- tree_
size - 374
- signed at
- 19 Aug 2026, 20:25 UTC
- key_
id 042b55492fabadcb8ffb9fe4e9b6a3e8- root_
hash ecf4adc708ae542a0339e03fd4cc181cf49d0329768627c5345c915a58bd813a- signature
3yL+JZfMhiQ6rm5rCTTg7iT+or04nCGVcQ08ILMw/d7eqvR4Jid7cEg2rQU5fCX7llStjVkTC9jVZjfGQvtMAg==
sourceGET /api/transparency/proof/inclusion· leaf_hash, audit_path, root_hash· audit-path nodes: 12