{"id":"07118885-847c-4a15-b18f-40fe970bd6c6","slug":"will-the-ecb-cut-the-deposit-facility-rate-at-its-29-october-2026-meeting","title":"Will the ECB cut the deposit facility rate at its 29 October 2026 meeting?","status":"OPEN","origin":"EDITORIAL","provenance":"PUBLIC_RECORD","category_slug":"economy","category_name":"Economy","tags":["ecb","rates","eurozone"],"opened_at":"2026-08-15T15:53:35.094383Z","closes_at":"2026-10-29T11:00:00Z","expected_resolution_at":"2026-10-29T14:00:00Z","blind_mode":true,"network_forecast":null,"forecaster_count":0,"consensus_withheld":true,"outcome":null,"resolved_at":null,"description":"The second Governing Council meeting inside the window. Asked as a directional question rather than as a hold, so that the pair of ECB questions does not resolve on the same reasoning.","resolution_rule":{"revision":1,"resolution_criteria":"YES if the deposit facility rate after the decision of 29 October 2026 is lower than the rate in force on 28 October 2026.","canonical_source_policy":"ECB monetary policy decisions at https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/govcdec/mopo/html/index.en.html.","fine_print":null,"created_at":"2026-08-15T15:53:35.052941Z","exceptional_justification":null},"population_forecasts":[],"consensus_history":[],"my_commitment":null,"my_history":[],"consensus_may_be_revealed":false,"resolution_proposal":null}