{"id":"3b91df80-00fc-4a4b-b86e-3310edcb9332","slug":"will-the-brazilian-presidential-election-on-4-october-2026-be-decided-in-the-first-round","title":"Will the Brazilian presidential election on 4 October 2026 be decided in the first round?","status":"OPEN","origin":"EDITORIAL","provenance":"PUBLIC_RECORD","category_slug":"elections","category_name":"Elections","tags":["brazil","election"],"opened_at":"2026-08-15T15:53:35.541666Z","closes_at":"2026-10-04T12:00:00Z","expected_resolution_at":"2026-10-06T12:00:00Z","blind_mode":true,"network_forecast":null,"forecaster_count":0,"consensus_withheld":true,"outcome":null,"resolved_at":null,"description":"Brazil votes on 4 October 2026, with a run-off scheduled for 25 October if no candidate passes fifty per cent of valid votes. Most recent Brazilian presidential elections have gone to a second round.","resolution_rule":{"revision":1,"resolution_criteria":"YES if one candidate receives more than 50 % of valid votes according to the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral and no run-off is scheduled.","canonical_source_policy":"Tribunal Superior Eleitoral official results at https://www.tse.jus.br.","fine_print":null,"created_at":"2026-08-15T15:53:35.500075Z","exceptional_justification":null},"population_forecasts":[],"consensus_history":[],"my_commitment":null,"my_history":[],"consensus_may_be_revealed":false,"resolution_proposal":null}