{"id":"29f1e88a-b6de-480c-bc2f-f234c647455d","slug":"will-euro-area-annual-hicp-inflation-for-september-2026-fall-below-2-8","title":"Will euro-area annual HICP inflation for September 2026 fall below 2.8 %?","status":"OPEN","origin":"EDITORIAL","provenance":"PUBLIC_RECORD","category_slug":"economy","category_name":"Economy","tags":["eurozone","inflation","eurostat"],"opened_at":"2026-08-15T15:53:34.943230Z","closes_at":"2026-10-02T07:00:00Z","expected_resolution_at":"2026-10-02T12:00:00Z","blind_mode":true,"network_forecast":null,"forecaster_count":0,"consensus_withheld":true,"outcome":null,"resolved_at":null,"description":"The downward counterpart to the August question. Two prints, two directions, same source and same rule: a forecaster right on both has said something about the trend rather than about one month.","resolution_rule":{"revision":1,"resolution_criteria":"YES if the headline annual rate in the Eurostat flash estimate for September 2026 is strictly below 2.8 %, as first published.","canonical_source_policy":"Eurostat euro indicators news release at https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/news/euro-indicators.","fine_print":null,"created_at":"2026-08-15T15:53:34.900190Z","exceptional_justification":null},"population_forecasts":[],"consensus_history":[],"my_commitment":null,"my_history":[],"consensus_may_be_revealed":false,"resolution_proposal":null}